Oscar Predictions 2017

Greetings all, just now the Oscar nominations for the year 2016 were announced and here I am to guide you through it all and give some predictions. Last year I managed to correctly predict 9/12 which is fairly decent I reckon, but I will not be satisfied until I can get 100%.

 

Cinematography

Arrival

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Silence

 

From years of watching the Oscars, I have learnt to always play it safe. Because the Oscars themselves always play it safe. La La Land is a very safe choice.

 

Costume

Allied

Fantastic Beasts

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie

La La Land

 

This is a pretty difficult one to predict for me, because while La La Land by being the only big hitter in the list is probably assured victory, the costumes weren’t anything special at all. Better play it safe anyway.

 

Animated Film

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle

Zootopia

 

A tough category this one. Kubo is neiter successful or niche enough to really win while Moana and Zootopia aren’t really the Oscars’ kind of animation. So I’m backing the second most niche option The Red Turtle.

 

Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)

Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)

Dev Patel (Lion)

Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals)

 

It’s going to be Mahershala Ali. But Jeff Bridges is a good dark horse to back.

 

Supporting Actress

Viola Davis (Fences)

Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

Nicole Kidman (Lion)

Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

 

This is a really tough one to call. Because I don’t think Fences is going to win anything outside of this award I’m going to go with Viola Davis.

 

Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon

Doctor Strange

Jungle Book

Kubo

Rogue One

 

This is a tough one because none are especially good. Not like Mad Max or Ex Machina from last year anyway. I’m going with Doctor Strange but it’s a very boring choice.

 

 

Production Design

Arrival

Fantastic Beasts

Hail, Caesar!

La La Land

Passengers

 

There will be no surprises here.

 

Original Score

Jackie

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Passengers

 

Ok so first off what the hell is Passengers’ weak ass soundtrack doing here? No room for the best soundtrack of 2016 from The Girl with all the Gifts but there was room for Passengers’ aggressively mediocre and at times actually poor soundtrack? Anyway It’s between La La Land and Jackie and because La La Land can’t win everything (can it?) I’m going for Jackie.

 

Director

Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)

Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)

Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)

Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

 

I’ve got a feeling in my bones that Mel Gibson will take this. The smart money is on Chazelle but who ever said I was smart?

 

Actress

Isabelle Huppert (Elle)

Ruth Negga (Loving)

Natalie Portman (Jackie)

Emma Stone (La La Land)

Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

 

First of all can Meryl Streep please just chill for one second Jesus Christ, There are other actresses out there. It’s a dead heat between Portman and Stone but reports are that Jackie isn’t that accessible so I’ll play it safe again. Though this may all change when I actually see Jackie tonight.

 

Actor

Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)

Ryan Gosling (La La Land)

Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)

Denzel Washington (Fences)

 

There isn’t much competition for Affleck here really I don’t think. Denzel is a strong second favourite, but Affleck really is a knock out.

 

Film

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Lion

Moonlight

 

And for the second year running I am underwhelmed. As much as I’d like Arrival to win, it won’t. And as much as I’d love to see Moonlight win it won’t. La La Land will win because it’s good, not spectacular, not brilliant, just good much like Spotlight last year.

 

Let’s for one second before we start complaining that none of the films we wanted to win actually won, appreciate what a diverse set of nominees we have here. Still no female directors, but hey ho you can’t have everything.

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